Week 2 remission with vedolizumab as a predictor of long-term remission in patients with ulcerative colitis: a multicenter, retrospective, observational study

Background/Aims Vedolizumab (VDZ), a gut-selective monoclonal antibody for ulcerative colitis (UC) treatment, has no established biomarkers or clinical features that predict long-term remission. Week 2 remission, a potential predictor of long-term remission, could inform maintenance treatment strategy.
Methods This retrospective, observational chart review included patients with UC in Japan who initiated VDZ between December 2018 and February 2020. Outcome measures included 14- and 54-week remission rates in patients with week 2 and non-week 2 remission (remission by week 14), 54-week remission rates in patients with week 14 remission and primary nonresponse, and predictive factors of week 2 and week 54 remission (logistic regression).
Results Overall, 332 patients with UC (176 biologic-naïve and 156 biologic-non-naïve) were included. Significantly more biologic-naïve than biologic-non-naïve patients achieved week 2 remission (36.9% vs. 28.2%; odds ratio [OR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05–1.94; P=0.0224). Week 54 remission rates were significantly different between week 14 remission and primary nonresponse (both groups: P<0.0001), and between week 2 and non-week 2 remission (all patients: OR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.30–4.48; P=0.0052; biologic-naïve patients: OR, 2.40; 95% CI, 1.10–5.24; P=0.0280). Week 2 remission predictors were male sex, no anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha exposure, and normal/mild endoscopic findings. Week 54 remission was significantly associated with week 2 remission and no tacrolimus use.
Conclusions Week 2 remission with VDZ is a predictor of week 54 remission in patients with UC. Week 2 may be used as an evaluation point for UC treatment decisions. (Japanese Registry of Clinical Trials: jRCT-1080225363)