| 著者 | Fukuhara, Kazuma| Phompida, Samlane| Insisiengmay, Sithat| Kirinoki, Masashi| Chigusa, Yuichi| Nakamura, Satoshi| Matsuda, Hajime| Ishikawa, Hirofumi| |
|---|---|
| 発行日 | 2011-12 |
| 出版物タイトル | Parasitology International |
| 巻 | 60巻 |
| 号 | 4号 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/15042 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 014_001_012.pdf |
| 著者 | 森本 智子| 銭花 知弘| 米谷 祐介| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | The spread of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) among domestic poultry and wild birds has caused global concern over the outbreak of an influenza pandemic of H5N1. The "Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Action Plan" determines the strategy against an influenza pandemic in Japan. Simulations were carried out using an individual based model (IBM). The IBM targeted a virtual area with a population of 100,000 using the demographic data of Sapporo-city, Hokkaido. The effectiveness of targeted antiviral prophylaxis (TAP), geographical targeted antiviral prophylaxis (GTAP), school closure, and pre-pandemic vaccination were explored. Moreover, this study focused on infections among children, who have a high attack rate, and analyzed the effectiveness of interventions for school-age targeted antiviral prophylaxis (STAP). Consequently, TAP, which is recommended by the "Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Action Plan", was found to have high effectiveness in the suppression of the outbreak. Moreover, this study showed the importance of intervention among children, such as STAP and school closure, to prevent the spread of H5N1 influenza. |
| キーワード | Influenza Pandemic H5N1 Individual Based Model (IBM) Sapporo |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2009-03-16 |
| 巻 | 14巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 1 |
| 終了ページ | 11 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002307373 |
| 著者 | Hisakane, Naoto| Kirinoki, Masashi| Chigusa, Yuichi| Sinuon, Muth| Socheat, Duong| Matsuda, Hajime| Ishikawa, Hirofumi| |
|---|---|
| 発行日 | 2008-09-03 |
| 出版物タイトル | PARASITOLOGY INTERNATIONAL |
| 巻 | 57巻 |
| 号 | 3号 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| 著者 | Ishikawa, Hirofumi| |
|---|---|
| 発行日 | 2008-03-25 |
| 出版物タイトル | PARASITOLOGY INTERNATIONAL |
| 巻 | 55巻 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| 著者 | Ishikawa, Hirofumi| Ohmae, Hiroshi| Pangilinan, Rogelio| Redulla, Apolinario| Matsuda, Hajime| |
|---|---|
| 発行日 | 2008-03-14 |
| 出版物タイトル | PARASITOLOGY INTERNATIONAL |
| 巻 | 55巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/12816 |
|---|---|
| タイトル（別表記） | Statistical modeling for analysis of malaria epidemic behavior at Ishigaki Island |
| フルテキストURL | 13_007_015.pdf |
| 著者 | 植木 優夫| 中川 祐希| 笛田 薫| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | It is necessary to consider a stochastic variability in modeling malaria epidemic behavior since the malaria infection cycle essentially depends on stochastic elements. For this requirement, we need to construct an appropriate statistical model from available data in advance. In this report, we provide some statistical models for the analysis of malaria epidemic behavior at Ishigaki Island. These models can be used for recurrence of past malaria epidemic and prediction of future malaria epidemic at Ishigaki Island. |
| キーワード | Anopheles minimus, generalized liner model Ishigaki Island malaria epidemic behavior prediction stochastic model |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2008-03 |
| 巻 | 13巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 7 |
| 終了ページ | 15 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 日本語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002304876 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/12819 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 13_023_033.pdf |
| 著者 | 銭花 知弘| 久兼 直人| 森本 智子| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | We carried out simulations of various scenarios for bioterrorist attacks using smallpox occurring in a virtual area set up on the basis of the census of Okayama-city, Japan, which predict the effect of control strategies against bioterrorism and the loss scale. On simulating a smallpox epidemic, we followed the method of the Individual Based Model stochastically, which can treat the population in the virtual area as individuals. Individuals have personal information, behavior patterns, and interactions among social groups. We took into consideration the influence of residual immunity due to past vaccination. We considered Traced Vaccination (TV) and Mass Vaccination (MV) strategies against bioterrorism. We investigated the effect of TV and MV strategies on the suppression of smallpox epidemics. Consequently, the TV strategy was found to have higher effectiveness than the MV strategy. |
| キーワード | smallpox bioterrorism Individual Based Model Traced Vaccination Mass Vaccination |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2008-03 |
| 巻 | 13巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 23 |
| 終了ページ | 33 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002304844 |
| 著者 | Nishina, Tomohiko| Ishikawa, Hirofumi| |
|---|---|
| 発行日 | 2008-02-01 |
| 出版物タイトル | Parasitology Research |
| 巻 | 102巻 |
| 号 | 3号 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11425 |
|---|---|
| タイトル（別表記） | A mathematical model of Plasmodium falciparum transmission incorporating drug resistance: Simulations of the Solomon Islands situation |
| フルテキストURL | 012_019_027.pdf |
| 著者 | 陳 甜甜| 仁科 朝彦| 久兼 直人| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | The Solomon Islands are known as a high endemic region of malaria. The resistance of Plasmodium falciparum to chloroquine has been confirmed since 1980 in the Solomon Islands, and the spread of chloroquine resistance is a big hurdle to malaria control. We have constructured the model for P. falciparum making allowance of chloroquine resistance. We distinguish the infection of resistance strains from that of sensitive strains in both the human and the vector populations. Since the overall parasite rate and the parasite rate of gametocytes for P. falciparum are strongly dependent on age, the human population is divided into 7 age groups in the model. The epidemiological parameters are determined by malariological survey in northeastern Guadalcanal (Ishii et al.) and the sporozoite rate in vector population is assumed as 0.1% based on the entomological study (Harada et al.) Our study aims at estimating the effect of mass drug administration under the presence of drug-resistance and also analyzing the escalation of drug-resistance through the transmission model for P. falciparum which can deal with chloroquine resistance. |
| キーワード | Solomon Islands Plasmodium falciparum drug resistance model |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2007-03-15 |
| 巻 | 12巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 19 |
| 終了ページ | 27 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 日本語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002313858 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11423 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 012_007_018.pdf |
| 著者 | Imura Keigo| XiaoDong Wang| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | The elliptic curve cryptosystem is a popular cryptosystem. Its safety depends on the difficulty of the elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem (ECDLP). From the viewpoint of ECDLP, it is very interesting to determine the order of elliptic curves. We tabulate the order of elliptic curves on the finite field of characteristic two using the Schoof algorithm, which is an efficient algorithm to decide orders. The Schoof algorithm is carried out by O(log(8)q). Because the calculation of y(q2) occupies most of the time used to execute the Schoof algorithm, it is necessary to reduce the amount of y(q2) calculations. |
| キーワード | elliptic curve order division polynomial Schoof algorithm finite field of characteristic two |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2007-03-15 |
| 巻 | 12巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 7 |
| 終了ページ | 18 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002313838 |
| フルテキストURL | MicrobiolImmunol_51_9_823_382.pdf |
|---|---|
| 著者 | Fukutome, Ayako| Watashi, Koichi| Kawakami, Norito| Ishikawa, Hirofumi| |
| キーワード | SARS Nosocomial transmission Stochastic model Simulation |
| 備考 | 編集 : 日本細菌学会、日本ウイルス学会、日本免疫学会 関連情報 : 岡山大学学位論文 学位番号甲第3778号| |
| 発行日 | 2007 |
| 出版物タイトル | Microbiology and Immunology |
| 巻 | 51巻 |
| 号 | 9号 |
| 出版者 | 財団法人 学会誌刊行センター |
| 開始ページ | 823 |
| 終了ページ | 832 |
| ISSN | 0385-5600 |
| NCID | AA00738350 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| OAI-PMH Set | 岡山大学 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| PubMed ID | 17895599 |
| DOI | 10.1111/j.1348-0421.2007.tb03978.x |
| Web of Science KeyUT | 000249477100005 |
| オフィシャル URL | http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/browse/mandi/-char/ja/| |
| 関連URL | http://ousar.lib.okayama-u.ac.jp/metadata/14875 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11424 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 011_009_014.pdf |
| 著者 | Nishina Tomohiko| Tian Tian Chen| Fujita Kazutoshi| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | The red fox (Vulpes vulepes) and the vole ( Clethrionomys refocanus) are principal hosts of Echinococcus multilocularis in Hokkaido, Japan. How protoscoleces increases in voles and the level of immunity in foxes remain unknown because of the lack of survey data, so that it is important to clarify these mecahnisms in order to develop control strategies against E. multilocularis. In this study, the growth of protoscoleces in the infected voles was approximated as the logistic curve, the level of immunity in the fox was assumed to depend on the experience of the infection with E. multilocularis, and the worm burden in the fox was assumed to be governed by the amount of protoscoleces in the vole. Our model showed that the population densities of the hosts and the level of immunity influenced the prevalence of the E. multilocularis. |
| キーワード | Echinococcus multilocularis protoscoleces immunity worm burden stochastic model |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2006-03-15 |
| 巻 | 11巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 9 |
| 終了ページ | 14 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002314034 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11422 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 011_001_007.pdf |
| 著者 | Fujita Kazutoshi| Tian Tian Chen| Nishina Tomohiko| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | Plasmodium vivax re-emerged in 1993 near the demilitarized zone (DMZ) in South Korea, although P. vivax malaria disappeared in South Korea in 1979. The re-emergence of malaria in South Korea is believed to have originated from infection by mosquitoes from North Korea across the DMZ. The principal vector of P. vivax in the Korean Peninsula is Anopheles sinensis. The density of An. sinensis has a peak during the second week of July. The North Korean strain of P. vivax has 2 characteristics: a wide distribution of the terms of relapse and a high rate of relapse. Therefore, we may well wonder why the incidence of malaria is concentrated in summer, especially in August. Mathematical models in North Korea and South Korea were constructed in which the South Korean model was affected unidirectionally by the North Korean model. We carried out simulations of the model for the Paju-shi and Yonchon-gun situations near the DMZ region. The simulation results followed the time-course of the re-emergence of P. vivax there, and revealed the mechanism of the elevation of the incidence of P. vivax in summer. |
| キーワード | DMZ Korea model Plasmodium vivax re-emergence |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2006-03-15 |
| 巻 | 11巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 1 |
| 終了ページ | 7 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 40007297549 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11479 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 010_001_007.pdf |
| 著者 | Wang Xiao Dong| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | The one-way hash function plays an important role in digital signatures and message authentication from the viewpoint of security. No effective attacking method has been discovered to the algorithm of hash function standard. In this study, we tried to attack SHA-256 in encryption mode using linear and differential cryptanalysis to solve a private key. We deduced that an estimate of the private key would require huge known and chosen plaintexts in both linear and differential cryptanalysis, and that it would be difficult to decipher SHA-256 in view of the required computation. |
| キーワード | differential cryptanalysis encryption mode hash function linear cryptanalysis SHA-256 |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2005-02-28 |
| 巻 | 10巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 1 |
| 終了ページ | 7 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 日本語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002313630 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11449 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 009_019_026.pdf |
| 著者 | Sakamura Kenichi| Dong Wang Xiao| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | We have investigated the linear cryptanalysis of AES cipher in this article. As the previous encryption standard DES could be broken by the linear cryptanalysis, NIST decided a new encryption standard AES in 2000. We try to analyze one and two rounds AES cipher by the method of the linear cryptanalysis and learn the limits of this mehtod. AES cipher provides a conspicuous difficulty in breaking its keys because of small bias of its S-box. We report the experimental results of success rate and are led to conclusion that this method would not work well on more than 3 rounds to break keys. |
| キーワード | AES Chosen plaintext attack Linear cryptanalysis |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2004-02-27 |
| 巻 | 9巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 19 |
| 終了ページ | 26 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002313376 |
| 著者 | Ishikawa, Hirofumi| Ohga, Yukio| Doi, Rikuo| |
|---|---|
| 発行日 | 2003-07-29 |
| 出版物タイトル | Parasitology Research |
| 巻 | 91巻 |
| 号 | 6号 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11487 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 008_001_007.pdf |
| 著者 | Tsunekuni Yasuhiro| Ohga Yukio| 石川 洋文| |
| 抄録 | In 1990s, there were rapid increases in the number of HIV epidemics and AIDS cases in Thailand, Southeast Asia. In particular the risk of HIV infection was very high among female prostitutes who played a large part in the transmission of HIV infection. We formulated a mathematical model for the transmission of HIV in prostitutes. We carried out the model simulations to analyze the incipient spread of HIV infection and the effect of AIDS prevention methods in prostitutes. The simulation of our model indicates that even if the effect of AIDS prevention methods such as the recommendation of condom use for commercial sex workers would block the transmission at rate by 70%, the elimination of the HIV epidemic is still beyond attainment. |
| キーワード | AIDS HIV prostitution Thailand transmission model |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2003-03 |
| 巻 | 8巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 1 |
| 終了ページ | 7 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002314019 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11512 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 007_007_016.pdf |
| 著者 | 石井 裕之| 石川 洋文| 大賀 潔生| |
| 抄録 | We have constructed a stochastic transmission model for lymphatic filariasis caused by Wuchereria bancrofti, and have analyzed its prevalence using computer simulations. In Pondicherry, India, where Wuchereria bancrofti has been spreading, the Vector Control Research Centre has carried out an integrated vector control strategy against malaria and filariasis for five years (1981~1985) with good results reported. Our study was aimed at evaluating the effect of vector control in the context of Pondicherry, and in particular the continuous effect for the post-control period. In this paper, we have used the LYMFASIM model proposed by Plaisier et al., the carrying capacity model by Rochet and the population dynamics model by us. In the LYMFASIM model and the carrying capacity model, we have modified the quantities of parameters in order to fit the models to the parasitological, entomological and epidemiological data in Pondicherry. We have combined the improved LYMFASIM model with the other models. Through simulations of our combinated model, we have compared the prevalence rate in the human population as well as the mean number of L3-larvae in the mosquito population, with and without vector control. As a result, the simulations show that the prevalence rate would be restrained for a long time even if only a small continuous effect of the vector control remains in the post-control period. However, the mean number of L3-larvae would recovered within a short time comparatively. This is because of the differences in life spans between human and mosquito as well as the incubation periods between the adult worm in the human host and L3-larvae in the mosquito vector. |
| キーワード | Lymphatic filariasis mathematical model Pondicherry vector control Wuchereria bancrofti |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2002-03-22 |
| 巻 | 7巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 7 |
| 終了ページ | 16 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| NAID | 120002313471 |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/fest/11510 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | 007_001_005.pdf |
| 著者 | 大賀 潔生| 石川 洋文| 土井 陸雄| 石井 裕之| |
| 抄録 | In our study, we have investigated the influence of the intermediate host population density on the prevalence of Echinococcus multilocularis in the definitive host using a mathematical model of transmission. For the vole population (intermediate host) in Hokkaido, a model of population dynamics has been constructed in this paper which follows the seasonal and annual fluctuations. In the northeastern area, the vole density appears to fluctuate periodically with a 4 year cycle. The prevalence of Echinococcus multilocularis in the fox population (definitive host) can be affected by the density of vole through the fox ingesting infectious voles. Therefore we have prepared a food habit function of foxes and the logistic distribution has been proposed. The simulations which have been carried out using the mathematical model for transmission of Echinococcus multilocularis together with the vole dynamics have indicated that the prevalence in foxes is correlated and synchronized with the population dynamics of vole. In addition they have also made us recognize that it is necessary to introduce a suitable food habit function into the transmission model. |
| キーワード | Echinococcus multilocularis food habit of foxes Hokkaido population dynamics vole |
| 出版物タイトル | 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告 |
| 発行日 | 2002-03-22 |
| 巻 | 7巻 |
| 号 | 1号 |
| 開始ページ | 1 |
| 終了ページ | 5 |
| ISSN | 1341-9099 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| JaLCDOI | 10.18926/AMO/32275 |
|---|---|
| フルテキストURL | fulltext.pdf |
| 著者 | Harada, Masakazu| Ishikawa, Hirofumi| Matsuoka, Hiroyuki| Ishii, Akira| Suguri, Setsuo| |
| 抄録 | We developed a sensitive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) method for the detection of Plasmodium falciparum DNA from mosquitoes collected in the field. Plasmodium falciparum was detected from 15.2% of 1-parous mosquitoes, Anopheles farauti, in the Solomon Islands through use of the PCR method. A novel mathematical model was developed to estimate the sporozoite rate based on the malaria-positive rate of 1-parous mosquitoes. Using this model, the sporozoite rate of Anopheles farauti in the Solomon Islands was calculated to be 0.09%. This method enables estimation of the sporozoite rate based on a relatively small number (100-200) of mosquitoes compared with the number needed for the ELISA method. |
| キーワード | sporozoite rate polymerase chain reaction (PCR) mathematical model Anopheles Plasmodium |
| Amo Type | Article |
| 出版物タイトル | Acta Medica Okayama |
| 発行日 | 2000-08 |
| 巻 | 54巻 |
| 号 | 4号 |
| 出版者 | Okayama University Medical School |
| 開始ページ | 165 |
| 終了ページ | 171 |
| ISSN | 0386-300X |
| NCID | AA00508441 |
| 資料タイプ | 学術雑誌論文 |
| 言語 | 英語 |
| 論文のバージョン | publisher |
| 査読 | 有り |
| PubMed ID | 10985176 |
| Web of Science KeyUT | 000089132800004 |