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ID 34117
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Author
Ohga, Yukio
Doi, Rikuo
Abstract

A mathematical model for Echinococcus multilocularis transmission would be useful to estimate its prevalence and manage control strategies. We propose a mathematical model which quantitatively describes the transmission of E. multilocularis in Hokkaido, Japan. The model takes into account the influence of the dynamics of both the definitive and the intermediate host populations, which show large scale seasonal variations as they are wild animals. The simulations based on the model clarify the mechanism for the seasonal transmission of E. multilocularis quantitatively, notwithstanding a lack of seasonal prevalence data. At present, human alveolar echinococcosis is prevalent throughout the mainland of Hokkaido. The risk of being infected with alveolar echinococcosis in the human population has been investigated by analyzing the seasonal fluctuation of parasite egg dispersal in the environment, which should be necessary for planning more suitable preventive measures against E. multilocularis.

Keywords
computer simulation
echinococcus multilocularis
hokkaido
japan
transmission model
Note
Digital Object Identifer:10.1007/s00436-003-0989-0
Published with permission from the copyright holder. This is the institute's copy, as published in Parasitology Research, 2003 October, Volume 91, Issue 6, Pages 444-451.
Publisher URL:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00436-003-0989-0
Direct access to Thomson Web of Science record
Copyright © 2003 Springer-Verlag. All rights reserved.
Published Date
2003-07-29
Publication Title
Parasitology Research
Volume
volume91
Issue
issue6
Start Page
444
End Page
451
Content Type
Journal Article
language
英語
Refereed
True
DOI
Web of Sience KeyUT
Submission Path
microbiology_and_immunology/3