start-ver=1.4 cd-journal=joma no-vol= cd-vols= no-issue= article-no= start-page= end-page= dt-received= dt-revised= dt-accepted= dt-pub-year=2022 dt-pub=20220906 dt-online= en-article= kn-article= en-subject= kn-subject= en-title= kn-title=Middle-income traps and complexity in economic development en-subtitle= kn-subtitle= en-abstract= kn-abstract=In this paper, we develop a simple multi-technology overlapping generations model that exhibits a wide variety of economic development patterns. In particular, our numerical simulations demonstrate that for a given set of parameter values, various types of development patterns such as the middle-income trap, the poverty trap, periodic or chaotic fluctuations, and high-income paths can coexist, and which pattern is realized depends only on the initial value of capital. For another set of parameter values, we show that, due to the pinball effect, an economy starting at a middle-income level can take off to the high-income state or get caught in the poverty trap in a seemingly random way after undergoing transient chaotic motions. Our results can explain observed complicated patterns of economic development in a unified manner. en-copyright= kn-copyright= en-aut-name=AsanoTakao en-aut-sei=Asano en-aut-mei=Takao kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=1 ORCID= en-aut-name=ShibataAkihisa en-aut-sei=Shibata en-aut-mei=Akihisa kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=2 ORCID= en-aut-name=YokooMasanori en-aut-sei=Yokoo en-aut-mei=Masanori kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=3 ORCID= affil-num=1 en-affil=Faculty of Economics , Okayama University kn-affil= affil-num=2 en-affil=Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University kn-affil= affil-num=3 en-affil=Faculty of Economics , Okayama University kn-affil= en-keyword=CES production functionchaos kn-keyword=CES production functionchaos en-keyword=complex dynamics kn-keyword=complex dynamics en-keyword=middle-income traps kn-keyword=middle-income traps en-keyword=nonlinearities kn-keyword=nonlinearities en-keyword=technology choice kn-keyword=technology choice END start-ver=1.4 cd-journal=joma no-vol=110 cd-vols= no-issue=1 article-no= start-page=945 end-page=961 dt-received= dt-revised= dt-accepted= dt-pub-year=2022 dt-pub=20220629 dt-online= en-article= kn-article= en-subject= kn-subject= en-title= kn-title=Quasi-periodic motions in a two-class economy with technology choice: an extreme case en-subtitle= kn-subtitle= en-abstract= kn-abstract=This paper constructs a simple overlapping generations (OLG) model with the working and capitalist classes and two types of production technologies. The behavior of agents belonging to the working class is basically the same as that in the standard Diamond (Am Econ Rev 55:1126-1150, 1965) type OLG model, whereas agents belonging to the capitalist class face two available technologies, select the one with a higher return on capital, and bequeath their assets to the next generation without supplying labor. Using techniques concerning the circle map in dynamical systems theory, we show that in an extreme case in which one technology is linear and the other is of the Leontief type, the economy exhibits bounded, non-periodic but non-chaotic motions for a large set of parameter values. We provide explicit formulas for the rotation number and the absolutely continuous invariant probability measure of the model. en-copyright= kn-copyright= en-aut-name=AsanoTakao en-aut-sei=Asano en-aut-mei=Takao kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=1 ORCID= en-aut-name=ShibataAkihisa en-aut-sei=Shibata en-aut-mei=Akihisa kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=2 ORCID= en-aut-name=YokooMasanori en-aut-sei=Yokoo en-aut-mei=Masanori kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=3 ORCID= affil-num=1 en-affil=Faculty of Economics, Okayama University kn-affil= affil-num=2 en-affil=Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University kn-affil= affil-num=3 en-affil=Faculty of Economics, Okayama University kn-affil= en-keyword=Endogenous business cycles kn-keyword=Endogenous business cycles en-keyword=Technology choice kn-keyword=Technology choice en-keyword=Quasi-periodic motion kn-keyword=Quasi-periodic motion en-keyword=OLG model kn-keyword=OLG model en-keyword=Rotation number kn-keyword=Rotation number END start-ver=1.4 cd-journal=joma no-vol=293 cd-vols= no-issue=1 article-no= start-page=304 end-page=311 dt-received= dt-revised= dt-accepted= dt-pub-year=2020 dt-pub=20201205 dt-online= en-article= kn-article= en-subject= kn-subject= en-title= kn-title=Optimal Investment under Ambiguous Technology Shocks en-subtitle= kn-subtitle= en-abstract= kn-abstract=This paper analyzes the behavior of a firm facing an ambiguous technology shock and the effects of the attitude toward ambiguity on optimal capital investment using the smooth ambiguity model of Klibanoffet al. (2005). Although it seems intuitive that an increase in ambiguity aversion always reduces the optimal capital investment, this is not necessarily true because the shape of the production function plays a key role in determining the effect. Under some conditions, we show that the optimal amount of capital investment increases (decreases) in ambiguity aversion if the production function is substitute (complement), and that this result is counterintuitive when the production function is substitute. Furthermore, our main results hold if we assume the alpha-maxmin preferences in Ghirardato et al. (2004). en-copyright= kn-copyright= en-aut-name=AsanoTakao en-aut-sei=Asano en-aut-mei=Takao kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=1 ORCID= en-aut-name=OsakiYusuke en-aut-sei=Osaki en-aut-mei=Yusuke kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=2 ORCID= affil-num=1 en-affil=Faculty of Economics, Okayama University kn-affil= affil-num=2 en-affil=Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University kn-affil= en-keyword=Decision analysis kn-keyword=Decision analysis en-keyword=Investment analysis kn-keyword=Investment analysis en-keyword=Capital investment kn-keyword=Capital investment en-keyword=Smooth ambiguity model kn-keyword=Smooth ambiguity model en-keyword=Technology shock kn-keyword=Technology shock END start-ver=1.4 cd-journal=joma no-vol=284 cd-vols= no-issue= article-no= start-page=63 end-page=79 dt-received= dt-revised= dt-accepted= dt-pub-year=2019 dt-pub=20190411 dt-online= en-article= kn-article= en-subject= kn-subject= en-title= kn-title=Portfolio allocation problems between risky and ambiguous assets en-subtitle= kn-subtitle= en-abstract= kn-abstract=This paper considers a portfolio allocation problem between a risky asset and an ambiguous asset, and investigates how greater ambiguity aversion influences the optimal proportion invested in the two assets. We derive several sufficient conditions under which greater ambiguity aversion decreases the optimal proportion invested in the ambiguous asset. Furthermore, we consider an international diversification problem as an application and show that ambiguity aversion partially resolves the home bias puzzle. en-copyright= kn-copyright= en-aut-name=AsanoTakao en-aut-sei=Asano en-aut-mei=Takao kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=1 ORCID= en-aut-name=OsakiYusuke en-aut-sei=Osaki en-aut-mei=Yusuke kn-aut-name= kn-aut-sei= kn-aut-mei= aut-affil-num=2 ORCID= affil-num=1 en-affil=Faculty of Economics, Okayama University kn-affil= affil-num=2 en-affil=Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University kn-affil= en-keyword=Uncertainty modelling kn-keyword=Uncertainty modelling en-keyword=Home bias puzzle kn-keyword=Home bias puzzle en-keyword=Portfolio allocation problem kn-keyword=Portfolio allocation problem en-keyword=Smooth ambiguity model kn-keyword=Smooth ambiguity model en-keyword=Greater ambiguity aversion kn-keyword=Greater ambiguity aversion END start-ver=1.4 cd-journal=joma no-vol=46 cd-vols= no-issue=2 article-no= start-page=107 end-page=118 dt-received= dt-revised= dt-accepted= dt-pub-year=2014 dt-pub=20141218 dt-online= en-article= kn-article= en-subject= kn-subject= en-title=Knightian Uncertainty and Asset Pricing kn-title=ナイト流不確実性と資産選択問題 en-subtitle= kn-subtitle= en-abstract= kn-abstract= en-copyright= kn-copyright= en-aut-name=AsanoTakao en-aut-sei=Asano en-aut-mei=Takao kn-aut-name=浅野貴央 kn-aut-sei=浅野 kn-aut-mei=貴央 aut-affil-num=1 ORCID= affil-num=1 en-affil= kn-affil=岡山大学 END